随着新疆城市化进程和国民经济的快速发展,城乡居民的生活水平得到了很大的提高。本文通过对新疆城乡居民人均肉类产品消费差异性特征的分析,并采用双对数模型预测了2013-2020年城乡居民人均肉类产品的消费量。预测的结果表明:2013-2020年新疆城乡人均肉类消费量仍将继续增加,其中城镇人均肉类消费量预计2015年达到26.27 kg,2020年达到26.64 kg,增长平稳,幅度不大;而农村人均肉类消费量预计2015年达到21.36 kg,2020年达到25.28 kg,增速较快,增长幅度较大。

With dramatic development in urbanization and national economy, the living standard of residents was improved. The difference in meat consumption between urban and rural areas were analyzed to predict the meat consumption from 2013 to 2020 in these two regions by means of double logarithm model prediction. The results shown that there is a continuous increase in meat consumption.The predicted meat consumption per capita in urban areas would be26.27 kg in year 2015 and 26.64 kg in year 2020, which isrelativelystable when comparing the consumption in rural areas, which may increase from 21.36 kg per capitain 2015 to 25.28 kgper capita in 2020.